The receipts

Every call. Wins and losses.
No cherry-picking.

We post every Long/Short call publicly and grade ourselves close-to-open. This page is the running scorecard.

Total calls
430
Accuracy
70.9%
Wins / losses
305 / 125
Edge over coin flip
+20.9 pts

Accuracy over time

Per-month hit rate of resolved calls. Months above the 50% coin-flip line shade green (real edge); months below shade red (we lost the month).

50% (coin flip)2025-122026-022026-05

Direction split

Are we biased Long? The split below answers that.

Long(195 calls · 45% of total)
68.7%
Short(235 calls · 55% of total)
72.8%

By sector

Where the AI does best (and worst). Sectors with under 5 calls are aggregated under "Other."

Technology152
70%
Consumer Cyclical69
61%
Industrials64
67%
Healthcare43
86%
Financial Services30
77%
Consumer Defensive26
77%
Communication Services20
50%
Basic Materials16
88%
Other10
90%

How we keep ourselves honest

Every call is a single Long or Short bet on direction. Outcomes are graded close-to-open — BMO calls resolve on the open of earnings day, AMC calls on the next session's open. Same rule for the AI and every human on the leaderboard. No retroactive edits, no cherry-picked dates.

Last 10 resolved

See all calls →
TickerDateCallMoveResult
MRNA2026-05-01Long+5.3%✓ Win
CVX2026-05-01Long+0.4%✓ Win
WDC2026-04-30Long+2.8%✓ Win
SNDK2026-04-30Long+8.5%✓ Win
RIVN2026-04-30Long-2.3%✗ Loss
RIOT2026-04-30Long+13.1%✓ Win
RDDT2026-04-30Long+17.5%✓ Win
MTZ2026-04-30Long+6.1%✓ Win
MRK2026-04-30Long+1.2%✓ Win
MA2026-04-30Long-2.1%✗ Loss

Stats are computed from publicly resolved Vote rows. CallTheBeat is a data product. Predictions are not financial advice.